Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.000183 0.000204 0.000228 0.000254 0.000284 0.000315 0.000352
2025-06-22 0.000149 0.000178 0.000211 0.000250 0.000297 0.000351 0.000418
2025-06-29 0.000129 0.000162 0.000202 0.000253 0.000317 0.000394 0.000494
2025-07-06 0.000112 0.000148 0.000193 0.000254 0.000333 0.000433 0.000568
2025-07-13 0.000098 0.000135 0.000184 0.000252 0.000344 0.000465 0.000635
2025-07-20 0.000089 0.000128 0.000181 0.000258 0.000366 0.000513 0.000728
2025-07-27 0.000081 0.000121 0.000176 0.000260 0.000382 0.000553 0.000811
2025-08-03 0.000073 0.000113 0.000171 0.000260 0.000394 0.000589 0.000891
2025-08-10 0.000066 0.000106 0.000164 0.000258 0.000402 0.000618 0.000962
2025-08-17 0.000061 0.000100 0.000161 0.000259 0.000417 0.000657 0.001051
2025-08-24 0.000056 0.000094 0.000154 0.000256 0.000422 0.000682 0.001120
2025-08-31 0.000051 0.000089 0.000150 0.000255 0.000431 0.000713 0.001200
2025-09-07 0.000047 0.000084 0.000146 0.000255 0.000443 0.000752 0.001297
2025-09-14 0.000043 0.000080 0.000141 0.000253 0.000451 0.000783 0.001384
2025-09-21 0.000041 0.000077 0.000140 0.000257 0.000469 0.000833 0.001506
2025-09-28 0.000038 0.000074 0.000137 0.000258 0.000482 0.000876 0.001619
2025-10-05 0.000035 0.000070 0.000133 0.000256 0.000489 0.000907 0.001714
2025-10-12 0.000034 0.000068 0.000134 0.000263 0.000513 0.000971 0.001872
2025-10-19 0.000032 0.000066 0.000132 0.000265 0.000527 0.001019 0.002004
2025-10-26 0.000030 0.000063 0.000129 0.000265 0.000539 0.001061 0.002128
2025-11-02 0.000028 0.000060 0.000125 0.000263 0.000544 0.001092 0.002233
2025-11-09 0.000026 0.000058 0.000124 0.000264 0.000559 0.001142 0.002377
2025-11-16 0.000024 0.000055 0.000120 0.000261 0.000562 0.001169 0.002479